This tool provides an estimated risk of developing prostate cancer based on common risk factors.
It is for informational purposes only and not a substitute for professional medical advice.
Enter Your Information
White
Black or African American
Hispanic or Latino
Asian
Other/Unknown
Yes (1 or more first-degree relatives)
No
Unknown
Yes (BMI ≥ 30)
No (BMI < 30)
Unknown
Your Estimated Risk
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Lifetime Risk Percentage
Understanding Prostate Cancer Risk Factors
Prostate cancer is one of the most common cancers diagnosed in men. While many prostate cancers grow slowly and may never cause symptoms or require treatment, others can be aggressive. Understanding the factors that influence your risk is crucial for informed health decisions and discussions with your doctor.
Key Risk Factors Assessed:
Age: The risk of prostate cancer increases significantly with age. It is rare before age 40, but the incidence rises sharply after age 50.
Race/Ethnicity: Men of Black or African American descent have a higher risk of developing prostate cancer, experiencing it at a younger age, and having more aggressive forms compared to men of other races. Men of Asian and Hispanic descent generally have lower risks than White men.
Family History: Having a close relative (father, brother, son) with prostate cancer increases your risk. The risk is even higher if multiple relatives are affected or if they were diagnosed at a younger age. Genetic predisposition plays a role here.
PSA Level: Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) is a protein produced by the prostate gland. Elevated PSA levels in the blood can be an indicator of prostate cancer, but also of other non-cancerous conditions like an enlarged prostate (BPH) or prostatitis. This calculator uses PSA as one component, but interpretation should always be done by a healthcare professional.
Obesity: While the link is still being researched, studies suggest that obesity may be associated with a higher risk of more aggressive prostate cancer and potentially increased mortality.
How This Calculator Works (Simplified Model):
This calculator uses a simplified statistical model to estimate lifetime risk. It multiplies baseline risk factors based on the inputs provided. The values assigned to each option are derived from epidemiological studies and general risk factor data.
The formula generally follows a multiplicative model:
Estimated Risk = Baseline Risk * Age Factor * Race Factor * Family History Factor * PSA Factor * Obesity Factor
Note:
The "Baseline Risk" is a foundational number representing average risk.
Factors like Race, Family History, and Obesity are multipliers. For example, a higher risk factor (e.g., 1.5) increases the overall risk estimate, while a factor of 1.0 indicates no significant additional risk from that specific category.
The Age Factor is a more complex component not fully detailed in this simplified calculator but generally implies higher risk with older age. For simplicity, this calculator focuses on the multiplicative impact of other factors and assumes a general risk profile for the age provided.
PSA level contributes to the risk estimate, often considered in conjunction with age and other factors. A higher PSA generally increases the estimated risk.
The resulting number is then scaled to represent a percentage.
Important Disclaimer: This calculator is an educational tool and does not provide a definitive diagnosis or medical advice. Individual risk can be influenced by many other factors not included here. Always consult with a qualified healthcare provider for personalized medical advice, diagnosis, and treatment options.
function calculateRisk() {
// Get input values
var age = parseFloat(document.getElementById("age").value);
var race = parseFloat(document.getElementById("race").value);
var familyHistory = parseFloat(document.getElementById("familyHistory").value);
var psaLevel = parseFloat(document.getElementById("psaLevel").value);
var obesityStatus = parseFloat(document.getElementById("obesityStatus").value);
// Basic validation
if (isNaN(age) || isNaN(race) || isNaN(familyHistory) || isNaN(psaLevel) || isNaN(obesityStatus) ||
age <= 0 || psaLevel 60) {
ageFactor = 1.2 + (age – 60) * 0.01; // Slightly increasing risk with age past 60
} else if (age 10) {
psaFactor = psaFactor * 1.3; // Higher PSA levels have a more significant impact
}
// Calculate the combined risk multiplier
var riskMultiplier = ageFactor * race * familyHistory * psaFactor * obesityStatus;
// Calculate the estimated lifetime risk percentage
var estimatedRiskPercentage = baselineRisk * riskMultiplier * 100;
// Cap the risk at a reasonable maximum (e.g., 90%)
if (estimatedRiskPercentage > 90) {
estimatedRiskPercentage = 90;
}
// Display the result
document.getElementById("riskResult").innerText = estimatedRiskPercentage.toFixed(1);
document.getElementById("resultSection").style.display = "block";
}