Normal Distribution How to Calculate

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Normal Distribution Calculator

P(X < x) P(X > x) P(a < X < b)

Result:

Understanding Normal Distribution

The normal distribution, also known as the Gaussian distribution or bell curve, is one of the most important probability distributions in statistics. It describes a continuous random variable whose distribution is symmetric about the mean. The mean ($\mu$) and standard deviation ($\sigma$) are the two key parameters that define a normal distribution.

Key Concepts:

  • Mean ($\mu$): The average value of the data set. It's the center of the distribution.
  • Standard Deviation ($\sigma$): A measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range.
  • Bell Curve: The characteristic shape of the normal distribution, symmetrical around the mean.
  • Empirical Rule (68-95-99.7 Rule): For a normal distribution, approximately 68% of data falls within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% falls within two standard deviations, and 99.7% falls within three standard deviations.

Calculating Probabilities:

To calculate probabilities for a normal distribution, we often convert the value of interest (x) into a z-score. The z-score tells us how many standard deviations a particular value is away from the mean. The formula for a z-score is:

z = (x - μ) / σ

Once we have the z-score, we can use a standard normal distribution table (z-table) or statistical software/calculators to find the probability associated with that z-score. The probabilities represent the area under the bell curve.

Calculator Functionality:

This calculator helps you compute different probabilities based on the mean ($\mu$), standard deviation ($\sigma$), and a specific value (x) or range of values (a and b) from a normal distribution.

  • P(X < x): Calculates the probability that a random variable X will be less than a given value x. This corresponds to the area under the curve to the left of x.
  • P(X > x): Calculates the probability that a random variable X will be greater than a given value x. This corresponds to the area under the curve to the right of x.
  • P(a < X < b): Calculates the probability that a random variable X will fall between two values, a and b. This corresponds to the area under the curve between a and b.

Use Cases:

Normal distributions are ubiquitous in real-world phenomena, including:

  • Natural Sciences: Heights of people, measurement errors, growth patterns.
  • Finance: Stock price movements (often modeled as log-normal, but related), credit default probabilities.
  • Quality Control: Variations in manufactured product dimensions.
  • Social Sciences: Test scores, IQ scores.
  • Medicine: Blood pressure readings, cholesterol levels.

Understanding and calculating probabilities from a normal distribution is crucial for making informed decisions, risk assessment, and statistical inference in various fields.

// Function to calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a normal distribution // This is a simplified approximation using the error function (erf) // For higher precision, a more complex algorithm or a lookup table would be needed. // This implementation uses a common approximation found online. function normalCDF(z) { var t = 1.0 / (1.0 + 0.3275911 * Math.abs(z)); var cdf = 1.0 – 0.254829592 * t – 0.284496736 * Math.pow(t, 2) – 1.421413741 * Math.pow(t, 3) – 1.453152027 * Math.pow(t, 4) + 1.061405429 * Math.pow(t, 5); if (z < 0) { cdf = 1.0 – cdf; } return cdf; } function calculateNormalDistribution() { var mean = parseFloat(document.getElementById("mean").value); var stdDev = parseFloat(document.getElementById("stdDev").value); var valueX = parseFloat(document.getElementById("valueX").value); var calculationType = document.getElementById("calculationType").value; var valueA = parseFloat(document.getElementById("valueA").value); var valueB = parseFloat(document.getElementById("valueB").value); var resultValueElement = document.getElementById("result-value"); var resultUnitElement = document.getElementById("result-unit"); resultValueElement.textContent = "–"; resultUnitElement.textContent = ""; // — Input Validation — if (isNaN(mean) || isNaN(stdDev) || isNaN(valueX)) { resultValueElement.textContent = "Invalid Input"; resultUnitElement.textContent = "Please enter valid numbers for Mean, Standard Deviation, and Value(s)."; return; } if (stdDev <= 0) { resultValueElement.textContent = "Invalid Std. Dev."; resultUnitElement.textContent = "Standard Deviation must be a positive number."; return; } var probability = 0; var displayResult = ""; if (calculationType === "probability_less_than") { var z = (valueX – mean) / stdDev; probability = normalCDF(z); displayResult = probability.toFixed(6); resultUnitElement.textContent = "Probability P(X " + valueX + ")"; } else if (calculationType === "probability_between") { if (isNaN(valueA) || isNaN(valueB)) { resultValueElement.textContent = "Invalid Input"; resultUnitElement.textContent = "Please enter valid numbers for both Lower Bound (a) and Upper Bound (b)."; return; } if (valueA >= valueB) { resultValueElement.textContent = "Invalid Range"; resultUnitElement.textContent = "Lower Bound (a) must be less than Upper Bound (b)."; return; } var zA = (valueA – mean) / stdDev; var zB = (valueB – mean) / stdDev; probability = normalCDF(zB) – normalCDF(zA); displayResult = probability.toFixed(6); resultUnitElement.textContent = "Probability P(" + valueA + " < X < " + valueB + ")"; } resultValueElement.textContent = displayResult; } // Show/hide input fields for range based on selection var calculationTypeSelect = document.getElementById("calculationType"); var valueAInputGroup = document.getElementById("valueA-group"); var valueBInputGroup = document.getElementById("valueB-group"); calculationTypeSelect.onchange = function() { if (this.value === "probability_between") { valueAInputGroup.style.display = "flex"; valueBInputGroup.style.display = "flex"; } else { valueAInputGroup.style.display = "none"; valueBInputGroup.style.display = "none"; } }; // Initial check on load if (calculationTypeSelect.value === "probability_between") { valueAInputGroup.style.display = "flex"; valueBInputGroup.style.display = "flex"; } else { valueAInputGroup.style.display = "none"; valueBInputGroup.style.display = "none"; }

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