Average Growth Rate Calculator
Understanding Average Growth Rate
The Average Growth Rate, often calculated using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) formula, is a crucial metric for understanding the performance of an investment, a business metric, or any value that changes over a specific period. It represents the mean rate at which a value has increased or decreased over that time, assuming the growth occurred at a steady rate each period.
How it's Calculated
The formula for Average Growth Rate (CAGR) is as follows:
CAGR = [ (Ending Value / Starting Value) ^ (1 / Number of Periods) ] – 1
Where:
- Starting Value: The initial value of the metric at the beginning of the period.
- Ending Value: The final value of the metric at the end of the period.
- Number of Periods: The total number of time intervals (e.g., years, quarters, months) over which the growth occurred.
The result is typically expressed as a percentage, indicating the annualized or periodized growth.
Why is it Important?
The Average Growth Rate provides a smoothed-out view of growth, which is more informative than simply looking at the start and end points. It helps to:
- Compare performance: Easily compare the growth of different investments or business segments over the same period.
- Forecast future trends: While not a guarantee, it can be used as a basis for projecting future growth if past trends are expected to continue.
- Assess stability: A steady CAGR can indicate consistent performance, whereas fluctuating growth rates might suggest volatility.
Example Calculation
Let's say you invested $1,000 in a stock at the beginning of 2019, and by the end of 2023, its value had grown to $1,800. The number of periods (years) is 5.
- Starting Value = $1,000
- Ending Value = $1,800
- Number of Periods = 5
Using the formula:
CAGR = [ ($1,800 / $1,000) ^ (1 / 5) ] – 1
CAGR = [ 1.8 ^ 0.2 ] – 1
CAGR = 1.1247 – 1
CAGR = 0.1247
As a percentage, this is 12.47%. This means your investment grew at an average rate of 12.47% per year over those five years.