Understanding the Economic Growth Rate Calculation Formula
The economic growth rate is a crucial indicator used by economists, policymakers, and investors to gauge the health of a country's economy. It measures the percentage change in the value of all goods and services produced in a nation (Gross Domestic Product, or GDP) over a specific period compared to an earlier period.
Using our Economic Growth Rate Calculator above, you can quickly determine whether an economy is expanding, stagnating, or entering a recession based on Real GDP figures.
The Economic Growth Rate Formula
To calculate the economic growth rate manually, you need two primary figures: the GDP of the previous period (usually a year or a quarter) and the GDP of the current period.
Where:
- GDPcurrent: The Real Gross Domestic Product for the current year or quarter.
- GDPprevious: The Real Gross Domestic Product for the preceding year or quarter.
Why Use "Real" GDP?
When calculating economic growth, it is standard practice to use Real GDP rather than Nominal GDP. Real GDP is adjusted for inflation, ensuring that the growth rate reflects an actual increase in production and economic output, rather than just an increase in prices.
Example Calculation
Let's look at a practical example to understand how the math works.
Imagine a country had a Real GDP of 20.5 Trillion in Year 1. By Year 2, the economy expanded, and the Real GDP rose to 21.2 Trillion.
- Step 1: Find the absolute change.
21.2 – 20.5 = 0.7 - Step 2: Divide the change by the previous year's GDP.
0.7 / 20.5 ≈ 0.03415 - Step 3: Convert to a percentage.
0.03415 × 100 = 3.41%
In this scenario, the country experienced an economic growth rate of 3.41%.
Interpreting the Results
The output of the calculation tells a story about the economic climate:
| Rate | Interpretation | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Positive (+) | Economic Expansion | The economy is growing. Businesses are generally producing more, and employment rates may increase. |
| Zero (0%) | Stagnation | The economy is neither growing nor shrinking. This can lead to concerns about future development. |
| Negative (-) | Contraction | The economy is shrinking. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is the technical definition of a Recession. |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a "good" economic growth rate?
For developed economies (like the US or UK), a sustainable growth rate is typically considered to be between 2% and 3%. Developing economies often aim for higher rates (5% to 7%) as they industrialize and expand their infrastructure.
Can I use this for quarterly data?
Yes. Simply input the Real GDP of the previous quarter and the current quarter. However, when reporting quarterly growth, economists often "annualize" the rate to show what the growth would be if that pace continued for a full year.
What is the difference between GDP Growth and GDP per Capita Growth?
GDP Growth measures the total economy. GDP per Capita divides the GDP by the population. If GDP grows by 2% but the population grows by 3%, the average person is actually becoming economically worse off, even though the total economy is larger.