Investment Performance Calculator
Understanding Your Vanguard Rate of Return
Calculating the performance of your investment portfolio is crucial for long-term financial planning. While Vanguard and other brokerages often provide a "Personal Performance" tab, understanding the math behind these numbers empowers you to verify their accuracy and set realistic goals. This calculator helps you determine both your total return on investment (ROI) and your Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) based on your account balances and cash flows.
Key Metrics Explained
When analyzing your Vanguard portfolio performance, it is important to distinguish between the different types of return calculations:
- Net Gain/Loss: This is the absolute dollar amount your portfolio has grown or shrunk, calculated by subtracting your initial balance and net contributions from your current balance.
- Total Return (ROI): This percentage represents the total growth of your investment relative to the amount of capital you invested. It answers the simple question: "For every dollar I put in, what percentage did I get back?"
- Annualized Return (CAGR): The Compound Annual Growth Rate smooths out the volatility of returns over a period of years. It provides a geometric mean return that assumes the investment grew at a steady rate. This is often the most useful metric for comparing your Vanguard performance against benchmarks like the S&P 500.
How to Calculate Vanguard Personal Performance
Vanguard typically uses a "Money-Weighted Return" (Internal Rate of Return) for personal performance, which accounts for the timing of your cash flows (deposits and withdrawals). While a full IRR calculation requires complex iteration based on exact dates, our calculator provides a highly accurate approximation using the standard CAGR formula adjusted for net contributions.
The formula used for the Annualized Return in this tool is:
CAGR = (Ending Value / Total Invested Capital)^(1 / Number of Years) – 1
Note: Total Invested Capital is defined here as your Beginning Balance plus Net Contributions.
Why Your Return Might Differ from Fund Performance
You may notice that your personal rate of return differs from the reported performance of the Vanguard funds you hold (e.g., VTSAX or VOO). This discrepancy usually occurs due to investor behavior:
- Timing of Contributions: If you bought more shares when the market was high, your personal return will be lower than the fund's return. Conversely, buying during a dip increases your personal return.
- Withdrawals: Removing money during a downturn locks in losses, which will negatively impact your personal rate of return compared to a buy-and-hold strategy.
- Rebalancing: Moving money between asset classes changes your cost basis and affects the overall portfolio return calculation.
Using This Data for Retirement Planning
Once you have calculated your annualized return using the tool above, you can use this figure to project future growth. Historically, a diversified portfolio might return between 7% and 10% annually before inflation. If your calculated CAGR over a 5-10 year period is significantly lower, it may be time to review your asset allocation or expense ratios.