How to Calculate Growth Rate in Dividends

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Dividend Growth Rate Calculator (CAGR)

Annualized Dividend Growth Rate
0.00%
function calculateDividendGrowth() { var initialDiv = document.getElementById('initialDividend').value; var finalDiv = document.getElementById('currentDividend').value; var years = document.getElementById('timePeriod').value; var resultBox = document.getElementById('dgrResult'); var valueBox = document.getElementById('dgrValue'); // Validation if (initialDiv === "" || finalDiv === "" || years === "") { alert("Please fill in all fields to calculate the growth rate."); return; } var initialVal = parseFloat(initialDiv); var finalVal = parseFloat(finalDiv); var yearsVal = parseFloat(years); if (isNaN(initialVal) || isNaN(finalVal) || isNaN(yearsVal)) { valueBox.innerHTML = "Invalid Input"; resultBox.style.display = 'block'; return; } if (initialVal <= 0 || yearsVal <= 0) { valueBox.innerHTML = "N/A"; resultBox.style.display = 'block'; alert("Initial dividend and number of years must be greater than zero."); return; } // Logic: CAGR = (Ending Value / Beginning Value)^(1/n) – 1 var growthRatio = finalVal / initialVal; var exponent = 1 / yearsVal; var cagr = (Math.pow(growthRatio, exponent) – 1) * 100; valueBox.innerHTML = cagr.toFixed(2) + "%"; resultBox.style.display = 'block'; }

How to Calculate Growth Rate in Dividends

Understanding how to calculate the growth rate in dividends is a fundamental skill for dividend growth investors. This metric helps you evaluate whether a company is increasing its payout to shareholders fast enough to outpace inflation and increase your purchasing power over time. A company that consistently raises its dividends is often a sign of financial health and disciplined capital allocation.

What is Dividend Growth Rate?

The Dividend Growth Rate (DGR) measures the annualized percentage increase in a stock's dividend over a specific period. While you can look at the growth from one year to the next, it is usually more insightful to calculate the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over a longer period, such as 3, 5, or 10 years, to smooth out short-term fluctuations.

The Dividend Growth Formula

To calculate the annualized growth rate of dividends, we use the CAGR formula. This formula requires three inputs: the dividend payment at the start of the period, the dividend payment at the end of the period, and the number of years in between.

Growth Rate = ( Current Dividend / Initial Dividend )(1 / Years) – 1

Where:

  • Current Dividend: The most recent annual dividend payment per share.
  • Initial Dividend: The annual dividend payment per share at the start of the period.
  • Years: The length of time between the two payments.

Example Calculation

Let's look at a practical example. Suppose you are analyzing a company with the following dividend history:

  • 2018 Dividend (Initial): $1.50 per share
  • 2023 Dividend (Current): $2.10 per share
  • Time Period: 5 Years

Using the formula above:

  1. Divide the current dividend by the initial dividend: $2.10 / $1.50 = 1.40
  2. Calculate the exponent (1 divided by years): 1 / 5 = 0.2
  3. Raise the result from step 1 to the power of step 2: 1.400.21.0696
  4. Subtract 1: 1.0696 – 1 = 0.0696
  5. Multiply by 100 to get the percentage: 6.96%

In this example, the company has grown its dividend at an annualized rate of 6.96% over the last five years.

Why is this Important?

For income-focused investors, the growth rate is just as important as the current yield. A stock with a high yield but 0% growth will eventually lose purchasing power due to inflation. Conversely, a stock with a lower yield but a high dividend growth rate (e.g., 10%+) can result in a significant "Yield on Cost" over a decade, providing a powerful compounding effect for your portfolio.

Interpreting the Results

  • Negative Growth: The company has cut its dividend. This is often a warning sign of financial distress.
  • 0% to 3% Growth: The dividend is merely keeping pace with historical inflation. Purchasing power remains roughly static.
  • 5% to 10% Growth: This is generally considered healthy growth, outpacing inflation and building real wealth.
  • 10%+ Growth: Aggressive dividend growth. While attractive, investors should check the payout ratio to ensure such growth is sustainable.

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