Recast Mortgage Calculator

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Solar Panel ROI Calculator

Estimate your payback period and long-term savings from switching to solar energy.

Net System Cost (After Incentives): $0.00
Estimated Annual Production: 0 kWh
Estimated Annual Savings: $0.00
Payback Period: 0 Years
25-Year Total Savings: $0.00
25-Year ROI Percentage: 0%

Understanding Your Solar Return on Investment (ROI)

Investing in residential solar panels is more than just an environmental choice; it is a major financial decision. To determine if solar is "worth it," you must look beyond the initial price tag and focus on the Return on Investment (ROI) and the payback period.

How the Solar ROI Calculation Works

The math behind solar savings relies on four primary pillars:

  • Net Investment: This is the gross cost of your equipment and installation minus the Federal Investment Tax Credit (ITC)—currently 30%—and any local utility rebates.
  • Energy Offset: Your panels generate electricity that you no longer have to buy from the grid. We calculate this by multiplying your system size by local peak sun hours.
  • Utility Rates: The higher your local electricity rate ($/kWh), the faster your system pays for itself. Solar acts as a hedge against future utility price hikes.
  • System Degradation: Most solar panels are warrantied for 25 years. While they lose about 0.5% efficiency per year, they continue to produce significant value for decades.

What is a Good Payback Period?

In the United States, the average solar payback period typically ranges between 6 to 10 years. If your results show a payback period under 8 years, your property is an excellent candidate for solar. If it exceeds 12 years, you should investigate if your roof has significant shading or if your local electricity rates are unusually low.

Factors That Can Improve Your ROI

Several variables can accelerate your savings:

  1. Net Metering: If your state has strong net metering laws, you can sell excess power back to the grid at the same rate you buy it.
  2. SRECs: Some states offer Solar Renewable Energy Certificates, which provide an additional stream of income for every megawatt-hour your system produces.
  3. Property Value: Studies by Zillow and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory show that solar installations can increase home value by an average of 4.1%.

Example Scenario

Imagine a $20,000 system (gross). After the 30% federal tax credit, the net cost is $14,000. If that system saves you $150 per month on your electric bill ($1,800/year), your payback period is approximately 7.7 years. Over 25 years, even accounting for slight maintenance, your total net profit could exceed $30,000.

function calculateSolarROI() { // Get input values var cost = parseFloat(document.getElementById("systemCost").value); var size = parseFloat(document.getElementById("systemSize").value); var incentive = parseFloat(document.getElementById("taxCredit").value); var monthlyBill = parseFloat(document.getElementById("monthlyBill").value); var rate = parseFloat(document.getElementById("electricityRate").value); var sunHours = parseFloat(document.getElementById("sunHours").value); // Validate inputs if (isNaN(cost) || isNaN(size) || isNaN(incentive) || isNaN(monthlyBill) || isNaN(rate) || isNaN(sunHours)) { alert("Please enter valid numbers in all fields."); return; } // Calculations var netCost = cost * (1 – (incentive / 100)); // Annual Production = Size (kW) * Sun Hours * 365 days * Efficiency Factor (0.85 typical) var annualProduction = size * sunHours * 365 * 0.85; // Annual Savings (capped by what the user actually spends annually) var annualBill = monthlyBill * 12; var potentialSavings = annualProduction * rate; var actualAnnualSavings = Math.min(annualBill, potentialSavings); var paybackPeriod = netCost / actualAnnualSavings; // 25 Year Analysis (factoring 0.5% annual degradation) var totalProduction25Years = 0; for (var i = 0; i 0) { document.getElementById("paybackDisplay").innerText = paybackPeriod.toFixed(1) + " Years"; } else { document.getElementById("paybackDisplay").innerText = "Calculation error"; } document.getElementById("totalSavingsDisplay").innerText = "$" + totalSavings25Years.toLocaleString(undefined, {minimumFractionDigits: 2, maximumFractionDigits: 2}); document.getElementById("roiPercentDisplay").innerText = roiPercentage.toFixed(1) + "%"; // Show the results container document.getElementById("solar-results").style.display = "block"; }

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