Z-Score Probability Calculator
Calculation Results
Z-Score:
P(Z < z) – Left Tail: (Probability of score less than X)
P(Z > z) – Right Tail: (Probability of score greater than X)
P(-|z| < Z < |z|) – Central: (Probability between -z and +z)
Percentile:
Understanding Z-Scores and Normal Distribution
A Z-score, also known as a standard score, indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. It is a fundamental concept in statistics used to compare observations from different normal distributions.
The Z-Score Formula
- X: The specific value you are testing (Raw Score).
- μ (Mu): The average value of the population (Mean).
- σ (Sigma): The measure of spread in the population (Standard Deviation).
What do the probabilities mean?
When you calculate the probability associated with a Z-score, you are finding the "Area Under the Curve" of the standard normal distribution:
- Left Tail P(Z < z): This tells you the percentage of the population that falls below your raw score. This is commonly referred to as the percentile rank.
- Right Tail P(Z > z): This tells you the percentage of the population that scores higher than your raw score.
- Two-Tailed Probability: Often used in hypothesis testing to determine if a value is "extreme" in either direction (significantly higher or significantly lower than the mean).
Realistic Example: SAT Scores
Imagine the SAT Math section has a mean score (μ) of 520 and a standard deviation (σ) of 115. If a student scores 750 (X), what is their percentile?
- Calculate Z: (750 – 520) / 115 = 2.00
- Interpret: A Z-score of 2.00 means the student scored 2 standard deviations above the average.
- Probability: Looking at a standard normal table, a Z of 2.00 corresponds to a left-tail probability of approximately 0.9772.
- Result: The student is in the 97.7th percentile, scoring higher than 97.7% of test-takers.
Common Z-Score Benchmarks
| Z-Score | Percentile (Approx) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | Exactly Average |
| 1.0 | 84.1% | Above Average |
| 1.96 | 97.5% | Statistically Significant (95% CI) |
| -1.0 | 15.9% | Below Average |