Net Present Value (NPV) Calculator
Expected Cash Flows
Understanding Net Present Value (NPV)
The Net Present Value (NPV) is a fundamental concept in finance and capital budgeting, used to evaluate the profitability of a projected investment or project. It helps businesses and individuals decide whether an investment is worthwhile by comparing the present value of future cash inflows to the present value of cash outflows.
What is NPV?
NPV is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. It accounts for the time value of money, meaning that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future due to its potential earning capacity. By discounting future cash flows back to their present value, NPV provides a clear picture of an investment's true profitability.
The NPV Formula
The formula for calculating Net Present Value is:
NPV = ∑ [Cash Flowt / (1 + r)t] – Initial Investment
Where:
- Cash Flowt: The net cash inflow or outflow during a single period 't'.
- r: The discount rate (or required rate of return/cost of capital), expressed as a decimal. This rate reflects the opportunity cost of capital and the risk associated with the investment.
- t: The number of periods (e.g., years) from the initial investment.
- Initial Investment: The cash outflow at time zero (the start of the project).
Interpreting NPV Results
- NPV > 0 (Positive NPV): The project is expected to generate more cash inflows than outflows when discounted back to the present. This indicates that the project is profitable and should be accepted, as it is expected to add value to the firm.
- NPV < 0 (Negative NPV): The project is expected to result in a net loss, meaning the present value of cash outflows exceeds the present value of cash inflows. Such a project should generally be rejected.
- NPV = 0 (Zero NPV): The project's expected cash inflows exactly equal its expected cash outflows in present value terms. The project is expected to break even, neither adding nor losing value. In such cases, other factors might influence the decision.
Why is NPV Important?
NPV is a superior capital budgeting technique because it:
- Considers the Time Value of Money: It accurately reflects that money received sooner is more valuable than money received later.
- Uses All Cash Flows: It takes into account all cash flows generated by a project over its entire life.
- Provides a Clear Decision Rule: The positive/negative NPV rule offers a straightforward way to accept or reject projects.
- Measures Value Added: A positive NPV directly indicates the amount of wealth an investment is expected to add.
Example Calculation
Let's consider a project requiring an initial investment of $100,000. The expected cash flows over five years are: Year 1: $30,000, Year 2: $40,000, Year 3: $35,000, Year 4: $25,000, and Year 5: $20,000. The discount rate is 10%.
Using the formula:
- PV (Year 1) = $30,000 / (1 + 0.10)1 = $27,272.73
- PV (Year 2) = $40,000 / (1 + 0.10)2 = $33,057.85
- PV (Year 3) = $35,000 / (1 + 0.10)3 = $26,296.02
- PV (Year 4) = $25,000 / (1 + 0.10)4 = $17,075.34
- PV (Year 5) = $20,000 / (1 + 0.10)5 = $12,418.43
Sum of Present Values = $27,272.73 + $33,057.85 + $26,296.02 + $17,075.34 + $12,418.43 = $116,120.37
NPV = $116,120.37 – $100,000 = $16,120.37
Since the NPV is positive ($16,120.37), this project is considered financially attractive based on these assumptions.
Use the calculator above to quickly determine the NPV for your own investment scenarios by adjusting the initial investment, discount rate, and expected cash flows for each period.