Optimize your cubing strategy with the Maplestory Potential Calculator. Calculate the cumulative success probability of tiering up or landing specific lines across multiple cube attempts with mathematical precision.
Maplestory Potential Calculator
maplestory potential calculator Formula:
n = log(1 – S) / log(1 – p)
p = 1 – (1 – S)^(1 / n)
Source: StrategyWiki MapleStory Potential Guide | Official Nexon Probability Data
Variables:
- p (Success Probability): The fixed chance of a successful outcome from a single cube (e.g., tiering up from Unique to Legendary).
- n (Number of Cubes): The total count of cube items you intend to use in a single session.
- S (Cumulative Success Rate): The total mathematical probability of seeing at least one success within ‘n’ attempts.
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What is maplestory potential calculator?
The Maplestory Potential Calculator is a statistical tool based on Bernoulli trials. In MapleStory, the potential system involves RNG (Random Number Generation). Whether you are using Red Cubes, Black Cubes (Bright Cubes), or Glowing Cubes, each attempt is an independent event.
This calculator helps players move away from “luck-based” thinking and toward “resource-based” planning. By understanding the cumulative probability, you can determine how many cubes are required to reach a 95% confidence level for your next tier-up, preventing unexpected resource depletion.
How to Calculate (Example):
Suppose you want to tier up from Unique to Legendary with a cube that has a 1% success rate (p = 0.01).
- Identify p: 0.01 (1%).
- Identify n: You have 100 cubes.
- Apply formula: S = 1 – (1 – 0.01)^100.
- Calculation: S = 1 – (0.99)^100 ≈ 1 – 0.366 = 0.634.
- Result: You have a 63.4% chance to succeed at least once.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ):
Standard MapleStory cubes do not have a pity system. However, specific events or “Miracle Time” may double the base success probability (p), which you should adjust in the input field.
Mathematically, cumulative probability approaches 100% asymptotically. In reality, a 99.9% chance is considered a “guaranteed” success for planning purposes.
Black Cubes (Bright Cubes) generally have a higher success rate (p) compared to Red Cubes. Use this calculator to compare if the higher cost per cube justifies the increased tier-up rate.
Simply multiply the calculated ‘n’ (cubes needed) by the market price or NX cost per cube to estimate your total meso/NX budget.