The solar payback period is the amount of time it takes for your solar energy system to "pay for itself" through savings on your electric bill.
Unlike a car or furniture, solar panels are a financial investment that generates a return. This calculator helps homeowners estimate
the financial viability of going solar by analyzing upfront costs against long-term utility savings.
Key Factors in the Calculation
Total System Cost: The gross price of equipment and installation. The national average typically ranges between $2.50 and $3.50 per watt.
Federal Tax Credit (ITC): The Investment Tax Credit allows you to deduct a percentage of your solar costs (currently 30% until 2032) from your federal taxes, significantly lowering the net cost.
Peak Sun Hours: This isn't just daylight hours; it represents the intensity of sunlight your panels receive. States like Arizona may see 6+ hours, while cooler climates may see 3.5-4 hours.
Electricity Rate & Inflation: Higher local electricity rates mean faster savings. Furthermore, utility rates historically rise by 2-3% annually, increasing the value of your solar energy over time.
What is a Good Payback Period?
Generally, a solar payback period between 6 to 9 years is considered excellent. With most solar panels warranted for 25 years,
a payoff occurring in year 8 means you enjoy roughly 17 years of essentially free electricity. Even a payback period of 10-12 years
can offer a better Return on Investment (ROI) than traditional savings accounts or bonds.
function calculateSolarPayback() {
// Get input values
var sysCost = parseFloat(document.getElementById('sysCost').value);
var taxCredit = parseFloat(document.getElementById('taxCredit').value);
var sysSize = parseFloat(document.getElementById('sysSize').value);
var sunHours = parseFloat(document.getElementById('sunHours').value);
var elecRate = parseFloat(document.getElementById('elecRate').value);
var rateIncrease = parseFloat(document.getElementById('rateIncrease').value);
// Validation
if (isNaN(sysCost) || isNaN(sysSize) || isNaN(elecRate) || sysCost <= 0) {
alert("Please enter valid positive numbers for all fields.");
return;
}
// 1. Calculate Net Cost
var creditAmount = sysCost * (taxCredit / 100);
var netCost = sysCost – creditAmount;
// 2. Calculate Annual Production (kWh)
// Formula: Size (kW) * Sun Hours * 365 Days * 0.75 (System Efficiency Loss Factor)
var efficiencyFactor = 0.75;
var annualProduction = sysSize * sunHours * 365 * efficiencyFactor;
// 3. Loop to find Payback and Lifetime Savings
var cumulativeSavings = 0;
var years = 0;
var paybackFound = false;
var currentRate = elecRate;
var lifetimeSavings = 0;
var paybackYears = 0;
// Loop for 25 years (standard panel lifespan)
for (var i = 1; i = netCost) {
// Calculate fractional year for precision
var previousCumulative = cumulativeSavings – yearSavings;
var remaining = netCost – previousCumulative;
var fraction = remaining / yearSavings;
paybackYears = (i – 1) + fraction;
paybackFound = true;
}
// Increase electricity rate for next year
currentRate = currentRate * (1 + (rateIncrease / 100));
// Degrade panel efficiency slightly (0.5% per year standard)
annualProduction = annualProduction * 0.995;
}
// 4. Update UI
document.getElementById('resNetCost').innerText = "$" + netCost.toLocaleString(undefined, {minimumFractionDigits: 2, maximumFractionDigits: 2});
document.getElementById('resProduction').innerText = Math.round(sysSize * sunHours * 365 * efficiencyFactor).toLocaleString() + " kWh/year";
document.getElementById('resYear1').innerText = "$" + (sysSize * sunHours * 365 * efficiencyFactor * elecRate).toLocaleString(undefined, {minimumFractionDigits: 2, maximumFractionDigits: 2});
// Net lifetime savings (Savings – Net Cost)
var netLifetime = lifetimeSavings – netCost;
document.getElementById('resLifetime').innerText = "$" + netLifetime.toLocaleString(undefined, {minimumFractionDigits: 2, maximumFractionDigits: 2});
var paybackText = "";
if (paybackFound) {
paybackText = paybackYears.toFixed(1) + " Years";
} else {
paybackText = "25+ Years";
}
document.getElementById('resPayback').innerText = paybackText;
// Show results
document.getElementById('solar-results').style.display = "block";
}