Ffxiv Wondrous Tails Calculator

Reviewed by: David Chen, CFA & Mathematics Specialist Updated: June 2024

Optimize your Khloe’s Journal rewards with our professional FFXIV Wondrous Tails Calculator. Simply mark your current sticker positions on the 4×4 grid to instantly calculate your statistical probability of achieving 1, 2, or 3 lines.

FFXIV Wondrous Tails Calculator

Select exactly 9 stickers (or your current progress) to see your chances:

Stickers Placed: 0 / 9

FFXIV Wondrous Tails Calculator Formula

$$P(L) = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{\binom{M}{K}} [f(S_i) = L]}{\binom{M}{K}}$$

Where $M$ is empty slots, $K$ is remaining stickers, and $f(S_i)$ counts lines in combination $i$.

Source: FFXIV Console Games Wiki – Wondrous Tails Mechanics

Variables:

  • Grid State (S): The current 16-slot matrix where stickers are placed.
  • Sticker Count (n): Total stickers currently in the journal (Max 9).
  • Remaining Slots (M): $16 – n$ available squares.
  • Remaining Stickers (K): $9 – n$ stickers yet to be placed.

What is FFXIV Wondrous Tails Calculator?

The FFXIV Wondrous Tails Calculator is a specialized utility used by players of Final Fantasy XIV to predict the outcome of Khloe Aliapoh’s weekly journal. By analyzing the 4×4 grid, the tool uses combinatorial mathematics to determine the likelihood of stickers forming lines.

Wondrous Tails relies on a “Shuffle” mechanic (using 2-7 Second Chance points) or manual placement. This calculator assumes you are looking at your final 9 stickers or evaluating if a shuffle is worth the points based on current probability thresholds for 2 or 3 lines.

How to Calculate Wondrous Tails Odds (Example)

  1. Identify Target: Assume you have 7 stickers placed and need 2 more to finish.
  2. Calculate Combinations: There are 9 empty slots remaining. You must place 2 stickers. Total ways = $\binom{9}{2} = 36$.
  3. Check Lines: Test each of the 36 possible outcomes for horizontal, vertical, or diagonal lines.
  4. Result: If 4 of those 36 outcomes result in 2 lines, your probability is $4/36 \approx 11.1\%$.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Is 3 lines guaranteed? No, 3 lines in Wondrous Tails is never guaranteed; it is a statistical rarity (approx. 0.25% from a fresh shuffle).

When should I use Shuffle? It is generally recommended to shuffle when you have 7 stickers and zero chance of 2 or 3 lines based on your current layout.

Does sticker order matter? No, the game only checks the final configuration of 9 stickers on the 16-slot grid.

What are the best rewards? Typically, Khloe’s Gold Certificate of Commendation (3 lines) offers the highest market value via rare mounts.

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