Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Calculator
Understanding Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is a crucial metric used to evaluate the average annual growth rate of an investment over a specified period longer than one year. It smooths out volatility and provides a single, representative rate of return, making it easier to compare the performance of different investments or projects.
Why is CAGR Important?
- Performance Measurement: CAGR helps investors understand how their investments have performed over time, abstracting away the year-to-year fluctuations.
- Investment Comparison: It allows for a standardized comparison between investments with different growth patterns. An investment with a steady 10% CAGR is often preferable to one that fluctuates wildly, even if the latter achieves a higher absolute return in some years.
- Forecasting: While not a guarantee of future performance, CAGR can be used as a basis for projecting future investment values, assuming the historical growth rate continues.
- Business Valuation: Businesses often use CAGR to track revenue growth, profit growth, or customer acquisition over several years.
How to Calculate CAGR
The formula for CAGR is as follows:
CAGR = [(Ending Value / Starting Value)^(1 / Number of Years)] – 1
Let's break down the components:
- Ending Value: The value of the investment at the end of the period.
- Starting Value: The value of the investment at the beginning of the period.
- Number of Years: The total duration of the investment period.
The result of this formula is a decimal, which is then multiplied by 100 to express it as a percentage.
Example Calculation
Suppose you invested $10,000 in a mutual fund at the beginning of 2019. By the end of 2023, your investment has grown to $15,000. The total period is 5 years.
- Starting Value = $10,000
- Ending Value = $15,000
- Number of Years = 5
Using the CAGR formula:
CAGR = [($15,000 / $10,000)^(1 / 5)] – 1
CAGR = [(1.5)^(0.2)] – 1
CAGR = [1.08447] – 1
CAGR = 0.08447
To express this as a percentage, we multiply by 100:
CAGR = 0.08447 * 100 = 8.45%
This means that, on average, your investment grew by 8.45% each year over the 5-year period, compounded annually.
Limitations of CAGR
While powerful, CAGR has limitations:
- It doesn't show volatility: CAGR presents a smoothed-out average and doesn't reflect the ups and downs that an investment may have experienced during the period.
- Assumes constant growth: The formula implies steady growth, which is rarely the case in real-world investments.
- Only considers start and end points: It ignores any intermediate performance.
Therefore, it's best used in conjunction with other financial metrics for a comprehensive understanding of investment performance.