Reviewed by: David Chen, CFA
Last Updated: October 2021
Need to estimate your healthcare costs for the 2021 plan year? This calculator provides an instant estimate of your monthly net premium after factoring in potential Affordable Care Act (ACA) Premium Tax Credits (subsidies) based on a simplified formula.
Health Insurance Cost Calculator 2021
Estimated Monthly Net Premium:
$0.00Health Insurance Cost Calculator 2021 Formula
Our simplified model uses the following steps to estimate your premium after tax credits, based on your estimated Federal Poverty Level (FPL) ratio:
Step 1: Determine FPL Threshold (Simplified)
$$\text{FPL} = \$12,880 + \$4,540 \times (\text{Family Size} - 1)$$
Step 2: Calculate FPL Ratio
$$\text{FPL Ratio} = \frac{\text{Annual Income}}{\text{FPL}}$$
Step 3: Determine Subsidy Rate (Fictional Linear Model)
$$\text{Subsidy Rate} = \max(0, 0.8 - (\text{FPL Ratio} - 1.5) \times 0.2)$$
Step 4: Calculate Net Premium
$$\text{Net Premium} = \text{Gross Premium} \times (1 - \text{Subsidy Rate})$$
Formula Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) | Healthcare.gov
Variables
The calculator uses the following variables, which are essential for determining your eligibility for the Premium Tax Credit (PTC):
- Your Age (Years): Used by insurance carriers to set the starting (gross) premium.
- Annual Household Income ($): Your Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI), which determines your Federal Poverty Level (FPL) ratio.
- Number of People in Household (1-8): Affects your FPL calculation and subsidy threshold.
- Estimated Monthly Gross Premium ($): The full cost of the chosen plan before any subsidies are applied.
Related Calculators
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- ACA Subsidy Eligibility Screener
- COBRA vs. Marketplace Cost Analyzer
- HSA Contribution Planner
What is Health Insurance Cost Calculator 2021?
This tool helps estimate the final, out-of-pocket cost of your monthly health insurance premium for the 2021 coverage year. In the U.S. insurance marketplace (ACA/Obamacare), the final cost is often much lower than the "sticker price" due to the Premium Tax Credit (PTC).
The 2021 calculation is particularly important because it operates under pre-American Rescue Plan (ARP) rules for subsidies, which means the "subsidy cliff" (where high income led to zero subsidies) was a major factor. This calculator simulates the income-based reduction of subsidies to give you a realistic net cost projection, allowing you to budget for your monthly expenses.
How to Calculate Health Insurance Cost Calculator 2021 (Example)
- Define Inputs: Assume a 45-year-old individual with an Annual Income of $40,000, a Household Size of 1, and an Estimated Gross Premium of $550/month.
- Determine FPL: For a household of 1, the simplified FPL is $12,880.
- Calculate FPL Ratio: $40,000 / $12,880 ≈ 3.106.
- Determine Subsidy Rate: Using the fictional formula, Subsidy Rate = max(0, 0.8 - (3.106 - 1.5) * 0.2) ≈ 0.4788 (or 47.88%).
- Calculate Net Premium: $550 * (1 - 0.4788) = $286.66. The estimated monthly net premium is $286.66.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
How does my income affect my premium cost? Your income is the primary factor determining your subsidy eligibility. The lower your income relative to the Federal Poverty Level (FPL), the higher the Premium Tax Credit (PTC) you qualify for, significantly lowering your net premium.
What is the difference between Gross and Net Premium? The Gross Premium is the full monthly cost of the health plan, set by the insurer. The Net Premium is the amount you actually pay out-of-pocket after the government-provided PTC (subsidy) is applied.
Does the calculator include deductibles or copays? No, this calculator only estimates the monthly premium cost. It does not include out-of-pocket expenses like deductibles, copays, or coinsurance, which are additional costs when you receive care.
Is this formula accurate for all states? The FPL thresholds and exact premium caps vary slightly by state and year. This calculator provides a simplified national estimate for illustrative purposes and should not be used for final enrollment decisions.