Expected Growth Rate (CAGR) Calculator
How to Calculate Expected Growth Rate in Excel
Expected growth rate, often referred to as the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), represents the mean annual growth rate of an investment over a specified period of time longer than one year. Excel provides several robust methods to calculate this metric accurately.
Method 1: The Manual Mathematical Formula
The standard formula for growth rate is: ((Ending Value / Beginning Value)^(1 / Number of Periods)) – 1. In Excel, you can translate this directly using cell references.
Where B2 is your final value, A2 is your starting value, and C2 is the number of years or periods.
Method 2: Using the RRI Function
The RRI function is specifically designed to return an equivalent interest rate for the growth of an investment. It is the cleanest way to find the expected growth rate.
- nper: The number of periods.
- pv: Present value (beginning value).
- fv: Future value (ending value).
Method 3: Using the RATE Function
If you have regular payments occurring, you might use the RATE function, but for simple growth, it looks like this:
Note the negative sign before the pv (Present Value) to represent an initial cash outlay.
Realistic Example
| Scenario | Start Value | End Value | Time | Expected Growth Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 500,000 | 1,200,000 | 4 Years | 24.47% |
| Stock Investment | 10,000 | 18,500 | 10 Years | 6.35% |
| User Base | 50 | 1,000 | 2 Years | 347.21% |
Common Troubleshooting
When calculating growth rates in Excel, ensure that the Number of Periods is never zero, as this will result in a #DIV/0! error. Additionally, if you are using the manual formula, remember to format the cell as a "Percentage" to see the result clearly (e.g., 0.15 will display as 15%).