Hsr Wish Calculator

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Expert Reviewer: David Chen, Gaming Strategy Analyst & CFA

Last Updated: October 2023 | Verified for HSR Version 1.4+ Gacha Logic

Planning your next limited-time Warp in Honkai: Star Rail? Use our HSR Wish Calculator to estimate your chances of pulling a 5-star character or the featured rate-up unit based on your current Stellar Jades, Star Rail Special Passes, and pity count.

HSR Wish Calculator

Estimated Success Probability
–%

HSR Wish Calculator Formula:

$$P(\text{total}) = 1 – \prod_{i=1}^{n} (1 – P_i)$$

Where $P_i$ is the probability at pull $i$, accounting for the Soft Pity ramp-up starting at pull 74.

Formula Sources: HSR Wiki Warp Mechanics | HoYoLAB Official Rates

Variables:

  • Stellar Jades: Premium currency converted at 160 per Warp.
  • Special Passes: Direct Warp tickets for limited banners.
  • Current Pity: Number of pulls since your last 5-star.
  • Guaranteed: Whether your last 5-star was a standard character (meaning the next is guaranteed UP).

What is HSR Wish Calculator?

The HSR Wish Calculator is a strategic tool designed for Honkai: Star Rail players to optimize their resource management. Unlike simple random chance, HSR uses a sophisticated “pity” system that guarantees a 5-star at 90 pulls, with significantly increased odds beginning at the 74th pull.

By calculating the cumulative probability, this tool helps you decide if you have enough resources to “snipe” a character like Kafka, Blade, or Seele, or if you should save for a future banner.

How to Calculate HSR Wish Calculator (Example):

  1. Convert your Stellar Jades into pulls (Jades รท 160).
  2. Add your existing Star Rail Special Passes to get Total Pulls ($n$).
  3. Identify your Current Pity ($p$).
  4. Apply the probability $P_i = 0.6\%$ for $p + i < 74$ and $P_i = 6\% + (p+i-74) \times 6\%$ (approximate) for $p + i \ge 74$.
  5. Factor in the 50/50 rule if not guaranteed.

Related Calculators:

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ):

What is “Soft Pity” in Honkai: Star Rail?

Soft Pity is a hidden mechanic where the 0.6% base chance for a 5-star starts increasing dramatically at the 74th pull, reaching 100% at the 90th pull.

Does pity carry over between banners?

Yes, pity count and the “guaranteed” status carry over between banners of the same type (e.g., Limited Character Warp to Limited Character Warp).

How many Jades for a guaranteed 5-star?

A hard guarantee (90 pulls) costs 14,400 Stellar Jades. To guarantee a specific UP character (worst case 180 pulls), you need 28,800 Jades.

Is the Light Cone Warp pity different?

Yes, Light Cone banners have a lower hard pity (80) and a higher base chance (0.8%), with soft pity starting earlier around 65-67.

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