Neonatal Survival Rate Calculator

Neonatal Survival Rate Calculator

Important Medical Note: This tool provides statistical estimates based on historical NICHD data for extremely preterm infants. It is for educational purposes only and cannot replace clinical assessment by neonatologists.
Female Male
Yes (Full Course) No / Incomplete
Singleton Multiples (Twins/Triplets)


Understanding Neonatal Survival Statistics

Neonatal survival rates are complex figures influenced by multiple physiological factors. When a baby is born prematurely, healthcare providers use data from large-scale clinical registries, such as the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD), to estimate outcomes and prepare the necessary level of Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) support.

Key Factors Influencing Survival

  • Gestational Age: This is the single most critical factor. Every week spent in utero between 22 and 28 weeks significantly increases the probability of survival. At 22 weeks, survival is rare (approx. 5-10%), whereas, by 28 weeks, survival rates often exceed 90%.
  • Birth Weight: Within the same gestational age, infants with higher birth weights (for their age) generally have better outcomes than those with growth restriction.
  • Antenatal Steroids: Administering corticosteroids to the mother before delivery helps mature the infant's lungs and reduces the risk of brain bleeds (IVH) and intestinal complications.
  • Infant Sex: Historically, female preterm infants tend to have slightly better survival rates and lower morbidity than male infants of the same gestational age.

Example Outcomes (Statistical Averages)

Gestational Age Approx. Survival Rate Typical Weight Range
23 Weeks 15% – 35% 500g – 600g
25 Weeks 60% – 75% 700g – 800g
27 Weeks 90% – 95% 900g – 1000g

What is Survival Without Major Morbidity?

Medical professionals often differentiate between "survival" and "survival without major morbidity." Major morbidities include conditions such as severe intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), or severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). As gestational age increases, not only does the chance of survival improve, but the risk of long-term health complications decreases significantly.

function calculateSurvival() { var ga = parseFloat(document.getElementById('gestationalAge').value); var bw = parseFloat(document.getElementById('birthWeight').value); var sex = document.getElementById('infantSex').value; var steroids = document.getElementById('steroids').value; var plurality = document.getElementById('plurality').value; var resultArea = document.getElementById('resultArea'); var survivalRateDisplay = document.getElementById('survivalRate'); var morbidityInfo = document.getElementById('morbidityInfo'); var progress = document.getElementById('riskProgress'); if (!ga || !bw) { alert("Please enter both Gestational Age and Birth Weight."); return; } if (ga < 22) { survivalRateDisplay.innerText = "Survival Chance: = 28 && ga = 32) probability = 98; // Adjust for Steroids (+10% relative improvement for extreme preemies) if (steroids === "yes") { probability += (100 – probability) * 0.2; } // Adjust for Sex (Females +3% absolute) if (sex === "female") { probability += 3; } // Adjust for Plurality (Multiples slightly higher risk) if (plurality === "multiple") { probability -= 2; } // Adjust for Weight (simplified: penalty for very low weight relative to GA) var expectedWeight = (ga – 20) * 100 + 400; // rough heuristic for < 30 weeks if (bw 99) probability = 99; if (probability 30) morbidity = finalProb – 5; morbidityInfo.innerText = "Probability of survival without major neurological or respiratory morbidity is estimated at " + Math.round(morbidity) + "%."; resultArea.style.display = "block"; progress.style.width = finalProb + "%"; // Color coding if (finalProb < 40) { resultArea.style.backgroundColor = "#fdedec"; progress.style.backgroundColor = "#e74c3c"; } else if (finalProb < 75) { resultArea.style.backgroundColor = "#fef9e7"; progress.style.backgroundColor = "#f1c40f"; } else { resultArea.style.backgroundColor = "#eafaf1"; progress.style.backgroundColor = "#27ae60"; } // Scroll to result resultArea.scrollIntoView({ behavior: 'smooth', block: 'nearest' }); }

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