P Value Calculator

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P-Value Calculator

Calculate the probability of observing your results under the null hypothesis.

Z-score (Normal Distribution) T-score (Student's t)
Two-Tailed Left-Tailed (Lower) Right-Tailed (Upper)
P-Value Result:
0.0000

Understanding P-Values in Statistics

A P-value (probability value) is a fundamental metric used in statistical hypothesis testing. It quantifies the evidence against the null hypothesis (H₀). Specifically, it represents the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the results actually observed, assuming that the null hypothesis is correct.

Z-Score vs. T-Score

This calculator supports two primary distributions used in research:

  • Z-Distribution (Normal): Used when the population standard deviation is known or the sample size is large (typically n > 30).
  • T-Distribution: Used when the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is small. This distribution requires Degrees of Freedom (usually n – 1).

Interpretation Guide

In most scientific fields, a P-value of 0.05 is used as the threshold for statistical significance:

  • p ≤ 0.05: Strong evidence against the null hypothesis. You reject the null hypothesis and conclude the result is "statistically significant."
  • p > 0.05: Weak evidence against the null hypothesis. You fail to reject the null hypothesis; the results could likely be due to random chance.

Calculation Example

Suppose you are testing a new plant fertilizer. Your calculated Z-score is 1.96. If you are performing a two-tailed test:

  1. Find the area in the tails beyond +1.96 and -1.96.
  2. In a standard normal distribution, this area is approximately 0.025 for each tail.
  3. Summed together, the P-value is 0.05.
function toggleDf() { var dist = document.getElementById("distributionType").value; var container = document.getElementById("df-container"); if (dist === "t") { container.style.display = "flex"; } else { container.style.display = "none"; } } function erf(x) { var a1 = 0.254829592; var a2 = -0.284496736; var a3 = 1.421413741; var a4 = -1.453152027; var a5 = 1.061405429; var p = 0.3275911; var sign = 1; if (x 0) return 1 – 0.5 * p; return 0.5 * p; } function ibeta(a, b, x) { if (x === 0) return 0; if (x === 1) return 1; var lbeta = logGamma(a) + logGamma(b) – logGamma(a + b); var front = Math.exp(a * Math.log(x) + b * Math.log(1 – x) – lbeta) / a; var f = 1, c = 1, d = 0, h; for (var i = 0; i <= 100; i++) { var m = i / 2; var num; if (i === 0) { num = 1; } else if (i % 2 === 0) { num = (m * (b – m) * x) / ((a + 2 * m – 1) * (a + 2 * m)); } else { var m1 = (i – 1) / 2; num = -((a + m1) * (a + b + m1) * x) / ((a + 2 * m1) * (a + 2 * m1 + 1)); } d = 1 + num * d; if (Math.abs(d) < 1e-10) d = 1e-10; d = 1 / d; c = 1 + num / c; if (Math.abs(c) < 1e-10) c = 1e-10; h = c * d; f *= h; if (Math.abs(h – 1) < 1e-10) break; } return front * (f – 1); } function logGamma(z) { var coeff = [76.18009172947146, -86.50532032941677, 24.01409824083091, -1.231739572450155, 0.1208650973866179e-2, -0.5395239384953e-5]; var x = z, y = z, tmp = x + 5.5; tmp -= (x + 0.5) * Math.log(tmp); var ser = 1.000000000190015; for (var j = 0; j <= 5; j++) ser += coeff[j] / ++y; return -tmp + Math.log(2.5066282746310005 * ser / x); } function calculatePValue() { var score = parseFloat(document.getElementById("testStatistic").value); var dist = document.getElementById("distributionType").value; var tail = document.getElementById("tailType").value; var alpha = parseFloat(document.getElementById("significanceLevel").value); var df = parseInt(document.getElementById("degreesFreedom").value); var resultDisplay = document.getElementById("p-val-display"); var interpretDisplay = document.getElementById("p-val-interpretation"); var resultBox = document.getElementById("p-val-result-box"); if (isNaN(score)) { alert("Please enter a valid Test Statistic."); return; } var pValue; if (dist === "z") { var cdf = normalCDF(score); if (tail === "left") { pValue = cdf; } else if (tail === "right") { pValue = 1 – cdf; } else { pValue = 2 * (1 – normalCDF(Math.abs(score))); } } else { if (isNaN(df) || df <= 0) { alert("Please enter a valid Degrees of Freedom (greater than 0)."); return; } var cdfT = tCDF(score, df); if (tail === "left") { pValue = cdfT; } else if (tail === "right") { pValue = 1 – cdfT; } else { pValue = 2 * (1 – tCDF(Math.abs(score), df)); } } // Clean p-value bounds if (pValue 1) pValue = 1; resultDisplay.innerText = pValue.toFixed(6); resultBox.style.display = "block"; if (pValue " + alpha + "). Fail to reject the null hypothesis."; interpretDisplay.style.color = "#e67e22"; } }

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