The CS:GO (Counter-Strike: Global Offensive) Trade Up Contract is a high-risk, high-reward method for obtaining rare skins. Use this calculator to instantly determine the profitability and expected Return on Investment (ROI) for your specific trade up configuration based on the average market price of your input skins and the estimated value of your potential outputs.
CS:GO Trade Up Profitability Calculator
Expected Return on Investment (ROI):
N/AExpected Profit: N/A
CS:GO Trade Up Calculator Formula
The Trade Up Calculator uses a simple profitability formula based on Cost and Expected Value:
C = Average Input Skin Price x 10
P = EV_out - C
ROI = ((EV_out - C) / C) x 100
Where:
- C: Total Input Cost
- EV_out: Total Expected Output Value (Pre-calculated by user based on probability and float)
- P: Expected Profit/Loss
- ROI: Return on Investment (%)
Variables Explained
- Average Price per Input Skin: This is the average price you pay for the 10 skins required for the contract. Accurate pricing is crucial.
- Total Expected Output Value: The core of any trade-up. This value represents the sum of (Output Skin Price * Probability of Receiving Skin). It accounts for wear (float) and StatTrak chances.
What is a CS:GO Trade Up Contract?
A Trade Up Contract allows a player to exchange 10 weapon skins of the same rarity and quality for one random weapon skin of the next higher rarity tier. This system is a high-risk, high-reward gambling mechanic built into the game’s economy. The resulting skin’s wear (Float Value) and whether it’s StatTrak are determined by the input skins, making accurate profitability calculation incredibly complex.
The primary goal when performing a Trade Up is to achieve a positive Expected Value (EV), meaning the statistically weighted value of the potential output skins is greater than the total cost of the 10 input skins. Any successful trade-up strategy relies on meticulous research into output skin prices, float value ranges, and the precise probability of obtaining each skin from the pool.
How to Calculate Trade Up Profitability (Example)
- Determine Input Cost ($C$): Find the current average market price for 10 input skins. If the average price is $0.95, the Total Cost $C = 0.95 \times 10 = $9.50.
- Calculate Expected Output Value ($EV_{out}$): This requires external data (like a dedicated trade-up site) to determine the probability and float-adjusted price of every possible output skin. Assume your calculation yields $EV_{out} = $12.00.
- Find Expected Profit ($P$): Subtract the cost from the expected value. $P = $12.00 – $9.50 = $2.50. A positive number indicates an expected profit.
- Calculate ROI: Divide the profit by the initial cost and multiply by 100. $ROI = (2.50 / 9.50) \times 100\% = 26.32\%$.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is the CS:GO Trade Up Contract still profitable in 2024/2025?
Profitability is constantly changing due to market fluctuations. Successful trade-ups often rely on newly released collections or very low float requirements which require significant upfront research. Use the calculator to verify your assumptions.
What is the maximum ROI I can expect from a trade-up?
While there’s no technical limit, sustainable, high-volume trade-ups rarely exceed 5% to 15% ROI on average. “God tier” trade-ups with massive profits are extremely rare and statistically unlikely.
Does the calculator account for Float Value?
No, this calculator assumes you have already calculated the float value impact and incorporated it into the “Total Expected Output Value.” The complexity of float logic requires a dedicated external tool.
How many input skins are required for a Trade Up?
The contract always requires exactly 10 input skins of the same rarity and from the same collection(s).